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BAKASSI DSP77.0+2.4LEKKI-EPE EXPY74.5AKK GAS PIPELINE68.11.2ZUNGERU HPP61.3+0.8ABUJA RAIL PHASE 258.7DANGOTE REFINERY91.0+0.5LEKKI DEEP SEA PORT80.0+1.1AZURA-EDO IPP91.0+0.3BAKASSI DSP77.0+2.4LEKKI-EPE EXPY74.5AKK GAS PIPELINE68.11.2ZUNGERU HPP61.3+0.8ABUJA RAIL PHASE 258.7DANGOTE REFINERY91.0+0.5LEKKI DEEP SEA PORT80.0+1.1AZURA-EDO IPP91.0+0.3
Nigeria Infrastructure Intelligence / V3.6

Nigeria infrastructure bankability intelligence — 12 to 18 months before market consensus.

Intelliblock monitors Nigeria's legislative, regulatory, DFI, and fiscal domains every day. When three or more independent policy signals converge on a single infrastructure opportunity, a full bankability assessment activates — before the market has moved.

Five-dimension V3.6 Bankability Framework. Legislative, regulatory, DFI, fiscal, and political economy signals — scored simultaneously. View methodology →

10Signals in score archive
80%Gate 1 directional accuracy
12 moMarket lead time advantage
100 ptBankability framework
Bankability ScoreFramework V3.6
77/100
Tier 2 Bankable
C1Policy Alignment90
C2DFI Readiness80
C3Revenue Model75
C4Implementation85
C5Risk Profile70
Framework V3.6Coverage: NG · 10 signals scoredUpdated daily via automated policy scan
0/100Highest bankability score issued
12–18 moLead time advantage over market consensus
£15K–25KRapid Assessment investment
NG → GH → KEIntelligence geography
02 · The Problem
Nigeria · 2024–2026Convergent Window AnalysisFramework V3.6
The Problem

Nigeria's infrastructure policy cycle creates a 12 to 18 month gap between government signal and market mobilisation. Most capital misses it.

Policy announcements, DFI deployment statements, legislative shifts — they appear months before market consensus forms. By the time your competitors brief their investment committees, the Convergent Window has closed.

Intelliblock reads the signals first.

12–18mo
Detection-to-mandate gap
80%
Gate 1 directional accuracy
5
Policy domains monitored

Why Intelliblock

Four things that separate intelligence from advisory opinion.

100-Point Bankability Framework V3.6

Five proprietary dimensions of deal viability. Structured scoring with traceable evidence for every point awarded — no editorial discretion.

Policy Convergence Intelligence

We track legislative, regulatory, DFI, and fiscal signals simultaneously. When 3+ domains converge: a Convergent Window opens.

12–18 Month Lead Time

Intelligence issued before market consensus. Origination intelligence timed to the pre-mandate window — not research delivered after it forms.

Nigeria-First Precision

No continental generalism. Deep single-market expertise with on-the-ground signal sourcing and DFI relationship access from London.

Infrastructure intelligence, two delivery formats.

One instrument for project-level bankability. One standing subscription for deal origination.

TIER 1 DELIVERABLE

Rapid Assessment Plus

Full bankability analysis of a single infrastructure opportunity. Five-dimension V3.6 scoring with evidence mapping, DFI alignment assessment, and origination recommendation.

£15,000–£25,000Pilot: £12,000–£15,000

5–7 working days

Request Assessment →
RETAINER

Policy Convergence Intelligence

Monthly intelligence signal monitoring across legislative, regulatory, DFI, and fiscal domains. Convergent Windows flagged on emergence with bankability pre-score.

£3,500–£5,000/month
Request Intelligence Brief →

NLNG Train 7 — Bonny Island

Rivers State, Nigeria — Signal Date 2019 · FID December 2021

IOC/NNPC JV brownfield expansion. ERGP 2017 presidential mandate confirmed. FEED complete, EPC procurement active. Long-term USD SPAs with Shell, TotalEnergies, and ENI — highest certainty offtake structure in Nigeria's infrastructure market.

Presidential PriorityIOC Equity Sponsors4-Domain Convergence

Tier 1 Bankable — FID achieved December 2021 · EPC $2.96B

Bankability ScoreFramework V3.6
0/100
Tier 1 Bankable
C1Policy Alignment19/20
C2Implementation18/20
C3Commercial Viability17/20
C4Fiscal Architecture17/20
C5Market Convergence16/20

Active coverage

PowerWater & SanitationTransport & PortsDigital InfrastructureRoad & RailHousing & UrbanAviationHealthcare

Bankability Score Archive

Retrospective scores applied against known outcomes. Gate 1 validation: 4 of 5 retrospective transactions scored above or below the Tier 2 threshold correctly — before outcomes were known. Cohort expanding to 15 by Q4 2026.

SignalMarketScoreTierDate
NLNG Train 7 — Bonny IslandNigeria87/100Tier 12019
Azura-Edo IPPNigeria91/100Tier 12013
Bakassi Deep SeaportNigeria77/100Tier 22026

Intelliblock operates without retainer, equity stake, or commission arrangement with any developer, contractor, or DFI. Scores and recommendations reflect the Bankability Framework assessment only.

Latest intelligence output

Timing Thesis

The 12–18 Month Gap: How to Detect African Infrastructure Opportunities Before the Market Does

April 20268 min read
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Bankability Standard

The Azura Model: What Nigeria's Most Successful Infrastructure Finance Tells Us About What Comes Next

May 20269 min read
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Policy Signal

Presidential Priority Is Not Bankability: Why Nigeria's Most Visible Projects Often Score Below 60

April 20267 min read
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